2019-10-18 - Comment
Ethiopia's Prime Minister Receives Nobel Peace Prize
On 11 October, the Norwegian Nobel Committee announced its 100th Peace Prize has been awarded to Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed. He was honoured for his efforts to make peace on the Horn of Africa, particularly for his country’s ground-breaking reconciliation with neighbouring Eritrea. The pace, however, of both the political liberalisation of Ethiopia and the implementation of the agreement with Eritrea have slowed.
2019-10-18 - Comment
Tunisia after the Presidential and Parliamentary Elections
On 13 October, the second round of presidential elections was held in Tunisia. It was preceded by parliamentary elections on 6 October. Kais Said, an independent conservative lawyer, was elected president. The democratisation of the state is endangered by political fragmentation and the erosion of cross-party compromise.
2019-10-17 - Bulletin
Prospects of a Reset in EU-U.S. Relations
During his September visit to Brussels, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo proposed a reset in EU-U.S. relations. By this, President Donald Trump is signalling he is considering adjusting his EU policy as he searches for support in the U.S. rivalry with China and seeks a diplomatic win for his upcoming re-election campaign. For the EU, it could be a chance to prevent an escalation of the trade dispute and to also save the Iran nuclear deal. However, the economic differences between the two partners, as well as the unwillingness by the EU to take a clear side in the U.S.-China dispute, diminishes the likelihood of an improvement in relations.
2019-10-16 - Bulletin
Portugal's Socialists Stronger after Elections
On 6 October, the ruling Socialist Party (PS), in power since 2015, won the parliamentary elections, gaining more seats. The PS’s success at the ballot stems from the government of Antonio Costa’s handling of the economy and the weakness of the opposition Social Democratic Party (PSD). PS will govern alone but with support from smaller parties. Portugal, along with Poland, will continue to advocate for strong transatlantic relations and traditional EU budget policies. However, the two countries will remain in opposite camps on climate, migration policy, and EU economic integration.