2019-07-23 - Bulletin

Oskar Pietrewicz

Japan-South Korea Tensions with History in the Background

At the beginning of July, Japan introduced restrictions on exports to South Korea of materials essential for making semiconductors and LED displays. The decision by the Japanese authorities is connected to reignited historical disputes with South Korea. Because of South Korea’s importance in the global technology market, the tensions with Japan may disrupt supply chains and could result in higher prices for consumer electronics. Suppliers of selected materials from other countries, including European ones, can benefit from this.

2019-07-23 - Comment

Daniel Szeligowski

Servant of the People Party Wins Absolute Majority in Ukrainian Parliament

Servant of the People, a party associated with President Volodymyr Zelensky, won early parliamentary elections in Ukraine with 43% of the votes in the proportional part and 129 out of 199 seats in single-mandate districts. The party is the first in modern Ukrainian history to gain an absolute majority in the Verkhovna Rada.

2019-07-22 - Bulletin

Lidia Gibadło, Melchior Szczepanik

What von der Leyen's Election as Commission President Means for Europe

The European Parliament (EP) has approved Ursula von der Leyen as European Commission (EC) president. Her programme is to a large extent a continuation of her predecessor’s agenda, but with greater emphasis on climate policy and the creation of a social pillar of the single market. The new president’s ambitions may be thwarted by Member States’ diverging interests. Building majorities in a politically fragmented European Parliament will be an additional impediment.

2019-07-19 - Bulletin

Marcin Andrzej Piotrowski

U.S.-Iran Tensions: Implications for the EU and NATO States

Tensions between the U.S. and Iran are rising due to the American government’s “maximum pressure” policy and actions by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). After Iran’s ultimatum of May 2019 to the other signatories of the nuclear agreement went unheeded, the country suspended compliance with some of the deal’s provisions. The steps it took are not likely significant enough to result in U.S. preventive strikes on Iran, but there is the growing likelihood that both sides will continue to act just below the threshold of open conventional conflict. The frequency of tension-increasing events may continue to rise to the end of President Trump’s current term, implying a number of challenges to the diplomacy of the EU and NATO states.

2019-07-18 - Bulletin

Łukasz Ogrodnik

"Reasonable Europe": Czech Presidency of the Visegrad Group

On 1 July, the Czech Republic took over the rotating annual chairmanship of the Visegrad Group (V4). Like the Slovaks before them, the Czechs will emphasize EU themes in Visegrad cooperation. The Czech position, however, is more restrained towards European integration. The dispute between the European Commission (EC) and the government of Andrej Babiš regarding the spending of EU funds may have a negative impact on the position of the V4 states in the negotiations on the Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF). The Czech presidency is a good opportunity for Poland to develop regional cooperation in the field of security or transport.